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Hidden Truths Experts Reveal About Gilroy’s Housing Market

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Hidden Truths Experts Reveal About Gilroy’s Housing Market | Aegis Luxury Real Estate
Market ReportMarket Monday

Hidden Truths Experts Reveal About Gilroy’s Housing Market

Timothy Alston | Broker

Aegis Luxury Real Estate · DRE# 01328224

Published

August 03, 2020

Gilroy, California

Garlic capital, South Valley gateway

GilroyJune 2026
Avg Price$1,668,791
Avg DOM10
Active84
$/SqFt$1,123
Seller’s MarketBalancedBuyer’s Market
As of June 2026• Seller’s Market
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The Gilroy housing market has repeatedly demonstrated resilience even when broader economic conditions suggested it should not. Multiple economists and housing analysts, after studying buyer demand data, home sales figures, and price trends, have independently reached the same conclusion: residential real estate holds its ground in ways that consistently surprise even seasoned experts. If you have been waiting for clarity before making a move, their assessments are worth understanding.

You know how it can feel like the world has to settle down before making a major financial decision? And how easy it is to keep waiting, month after month, for conditions that feel more certain? A lot of buyers and sellers in Gilroy are living in exactly that tension right now. But here is the part most people have not stopped to think about yet: the housing market does not always wait for life to feel comfortable before it moves.

So let’s slow down for a second. What does your housing situation actually look like right now? Are you renting and watching your monthly payment creep upward? Are you sitting on a home with equity you have not touched? Or are you somewhere in between, aware that something needs to change but unsure what the right move actually is?

What the Housing Market Data Actually Shows

When you look at what analysts and economists have said about the housing market during periods of significant uncertainty, a pattern emerges. Ivy Zelman, CEO of Zelman and Associates, described buyer demand as “shockingly strong” even as external pressures mounted. Matthew Speakman, an economist at Zillow, noted that the housing market had “stared the pandemic right in the eye and hadn’t blinked.” These are not casual observations. These are professionals who study data for a living, and they keep arriving at the same place.

Have you ever stopped to think about why residential real estate tends to behave differently than other markets during uncertainty? Unlike stocks, a home is both an asset and a necessity. People still need a place to live. That fundamental demand does not disappear when headlines get difficult.

Ali Wolf, Chief Economist at Meyers Research, put it plainly: the expectation was that housing would collapse under pressure, and instead it came back faster and stronger than nearly anyone predicted. Mark Fleming, Chief Economist at First American, pointed to a clear “V” shape in housing market statistics, meaning sharp decline followed by sharp recovery, not a long slow crawl back.

The Economic and Strategic Research Group at Fannie Mae went further. Their team revised home sales forecasts upward and increased their expectations for home price growth, citing what they described as remarkable and continued strength in home purchase activity. When forecasters revise numbers upward, it is worth asking yourself: what does that mean for where property values might be heading in a market like Gilroy?

Why Experts Weigh In on This Moment Differently Than Others

Here is something worth sitting with. When multiple experts, from different firms, using different data sets, all arrive at the same conclusion, that is a signal. Logan Mohtashami, Lead Housing Analyst at HousingWire, noted that even with year-over-year sales still recovering, the trajectory toward positive growth was clear and measurable. Todd Teta of ATTOM Data Solutions described the housing market as having pulled off something of a “high-wire act,” surging forward despite real economic headwinds.

Bill Banfield, EVP of Capital Markets at Quicken Loans, made a point that applies directly to anyone watching the Gilroy real estate landscape: consistent home price growth had continued regardless of the disruption. Not paused. Not reversed. Continued.

Does that match what you have observed in the neighborhoods you have been watching? Can you see how that kind of persistence in the market might matter for a decision you have been putting off?

What Happens If You Keep Waiting?

This is the question most people skip over because it is uncomfortable. What happens if nothing changes in your approach? If you spend the next three to five years doing the same thing, where does that leave you? If you are renting, what has that monthly payment built for you over time? If you own and have been sitting on equity without a plan, what is that capital actually doing for you right now?

Homes in Gilroy, like those across Santa Clara County, tend to reflect broader market trends with their own local character. Buyer demand, listing prices, and time on market all shift, and they do not always move in the direction of the person who is waiting for the perfect moment. The experts who weigh in on these conditions are not seeing a market that rewards extended hesitation.

If you could lock in a monthly payment that stayed fixed, instead of watching rent move every year, what would that mean for your household budget over the next decade? That is not a rhetorical question. It is worth actually answering for yourself.

Based on What Buyers and Sellers Are Telling Us

Based on what a lot of people in the Gilroy area are working through right now, the gap between where they are and where they want to be often comes down to one thing: a clear picture of the numbers specific to their situation. Not general market commentary, but an honest look at what buying or selling actually looks like for them, given current inventory, average prices, and mortgage rate conditions.

That picture might look different than you expect. It might be closer to your reach than you think. Or it might reveal a timeline that makes more sense to plan around. Either way, knowing is better than guessing.

If you have been browsing Gilroy homes for sale and wondering whether now is actually the right time to act, the most useful next step is not more research. It is a straightforward conversation about what the numbers look like for your specific situation.

Do you feel like this could be the clarity you have been looking for? If so, Timothy Alston, licensed Broker at Aegis Luxury Real Estate (DRE# 01328224), is available for a direct, no-pressure conversation about where you stand and what your options actually look like in today’s housing market. Not a pitch. Just an honest look at the data and what it means for you.

Call or text: (408) 207-4593

Schools in Gilroy

Aegis School Excellence Index · 2024-25 performance data

8
Luigi Aprea ElementaryAegis School Excellence Index · Gilroy Unified SD · Grades K-6
5
Ascencion Solorsano MiddleAegis School Excellence Index · Gilroy Unified SD · Grades 7-8
6
Christopher High SchoolAegis School Excellence Index · Gilroy Unified SD · Grades 9-12

Serving districts: Gilroy Unified SD (K-12). School district boundaries can change; please verify current enrollment boundaries and program offerings directly with the school district.

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Consider This

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Pro Tip

In Gilroy, properties near Highway 101 interchanges sell faster because commute access is a primary concern for buyers working in San Jose or further north.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Is Milpitas a good real estate investment?
Milpitas has strong investment fundamentals, including BART access, major employer proximity, and ongoing commercial development. The city’s infrastructure improvements and growing amenities support long-term appreciation potential.
How do I start searching for a home in Monte Sereno?
Given the extremely limited and often private nature of Monte Sereno inventory, the most important step is partnering with an agent who has deep connections in the community. Strong financial preparation and the ability to move quickly are essential.
How does Morgan Hill compare to Gilroy?
Morgan Hill generally carries higher average home prices than Gilroy and has a more established downtown and wine country atmosphere. Both cities offer good value for Santa Clara County, but Morgan Hill skews more upscale.

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Timothy Alston

Broker · DRE# 01328224

Aegis Luxury Real Estate

Harvard Business School Online, Certified Master Negotiation

23+ Years Silicon Valley Real Estate Experience

Retired Military Veteran

Copyright © 2026 MLSListings Inc. All rights reserved.

The data relating to real estate for sale on this display comes in part from the Internet Data Exchange program of the MLSListings™ MLS system. Real estate listings held by brokerage firms other than Aegis Luxury Real Estate are marked with the Internet Data Exchange icon and detailed information about them includes the names of the listing brokers and listing agents.

Based on information from the MLSListings MLS as of June 28, 2026. All data, including all measurements and calculations of area, is obtained from various sources and has not been, and will not be, verified by broker or MLS. All information should be independently reviewed and verified for accuracy. Properties may or may not be listed by the office/agent presenting the information.

These statistics are generated using information from the MLSListings Inc. multiple listing service, but have not been verified and are not guaranteed. MLSListings Inc. disclaims any responsibility for the accuracy and reliability of these statistics. This information should not be relied upon for real estate transaction decisions.

Data updated every 15 minutes. Visit www.MLSListings.com for more information.

Information provided is for general informational purposes only. Equal Housing Opportunity. If you are currently working with a real estate agent, this is not intended as a solicitation.

Aegis Luxury Real Estate · Timothy Alston, Broker, DRE# 01328224 · 10080 N. Wolfe Rd Ste SW3-200, Cupertino CA 95014 · (408) 207-4593

Last updated: June 28, 2026 | Data reflects June 2026 MLS statistics

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