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The Hidden Truth About Santa Clara’s Housing Market Myth

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The Hidden Truth About Santa Clara’s Housing Market Myth | Aegis Luxury Real Estate
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The Hidden Truth About Santa Clara’s Housing Market Myth

Timothy Alston | Broker

Aegis Luxury Real Estate · DRE# 01328224

Published

June 14, 2022

Santa Clara, California

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Santa ClaraJuly 2026
Avg Price$1,668,791
Avg DOM10
Active84
$/SqFt$1,123
Hot Seller’s MarketBalancedBuyer’s Market
As of July 2026• Hot Seller’s Market
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The Santa Clara housing market is not crashing or correcting. It is moderating back toward the pace it held in 2019, which the National Association of Realtors identified as the strongest housing market in a decade at that time. Buyer demand, while slightly below pandemic peaks, still runs above pre-pandemic levels. That distinction matters more than most headlines suggest.

You know how you scroll through the news and every other headline seems to say something different about the housing market? One article says it is slowing down. The next one says it is crashing. Another one calls it a correction. After a while, it is hard to know what to believe, let alone what to do.

A lot of people in Santa Clara are sitting with that same uncertainty right now. And here is the part most people have not stopped to think about yet: the story you are being told depends almost entirely on what the story is being compared to.

What Does the Housing Market Actually Look Like Right Now?

Before anything else, ask yourself this: what does your housing situation actually look like right now? Are you watching the market from the sidelines, waiting to see what happens? Are you renting, hoping for prices to drop before you make a move?

If that describes you, it is worth understanding what “slowing down” actually means in this context. The housing market over the last two years was not normal. Record-low mortgage rates and an entire generation of millennials hitting peak homebuying years at the same time created a level of buyer demand that had never been seen before. Meanwhile, there were not enough homes available, partly from years of underbuilding and partly because sellers held back during the health crisis.

That combination, record-high demand meeting record-low supply, was never going to last. Can you see how comparing today’s market to those two years would make almost anything look like a decline?

Trend #1: Buyer Demand Is Moderating, Not Collapsing

The ShowingTime Showing Index, which tracks home showing traffic reported by brokers and agents, tells a clear story. During the pandemic years, showings skyrocketed far above 2019 levels. Today, showing activity has pulled back slightly from those peaks. But here is what the headlines leave out: current showing activity is still running above 2019 levels, and 2019 was the strongest housing market year in a decade. That is not a market correcting into trouble. That is a market finding its footing.

Trend #2: Existing Home Sales Are Still Outpacing Pre-Pandemic Norms

Existing home sales are down from pandemic peaks, and that is the number getting all the attention. But when you hold today’s sales pace next to 2019, a different picture emerges. The market is on track to close the year with more home sales than 2019. First American put it plainly: today’s housing market looks a lot like 2019, which was the strongest housing market in a decade at the time. Does that sound like a crash to you?

Trend #3: Mortgage Rates Have Shifted the Calculation for Buyers

Rising mortgage rates changed the math for a lot of buyers, and that is a real shift worth acknowledging. Higher monthly payments affect how much home someone can qualify for and how urgently they move. But have you ever stopped to think about what waiting actually costs when property values in a market like Santa Clara have historically trended upward over time? The rate you wait on today may cost you more in purchase price appreciation than you save by holding off.

Trend #4: Inventory Is Increasing, Slowly Improving Buyer Options

One genuine shift in the housing market is that inventory has been climbing from historically low levels. That means buyers who spent the last two years losing bidding wars may now find slightly more homes to consider and slightly less frantic competition. For anyone exploring Santa Clara homes for sale, this gradual increase in available listings is a meaningful change in the buying experience, even if it does not signal a dramatic price correction.

Trend #5: A Turning Point Is Not the Same as a Collapse

Realtor.com described the current housing market as being at a turning point, with early signs of a new direction emerging. That framing is accurate and worth sitting with. A turning point means the pace of the last two years is no longer the pace going forward. It does not mean the market is correcting into negative territory. Markets that return to historically strong norms after an extraordinary run are not broken. They are normalizing.

What Does Doing Nothing Actually Cost You?

Here is a question worth sitting with for a moment. What happens if nothing changes for you over the next three to five years? If you stay in the same rental, watching your monthly payment increase each lease renewal, what does that add up to?

Homeowners, on average, build significantly more wealth over time than renters, not because they are smarter, but because their monthly payment builds equity instead of disappearing. The gap between homeowner and renter net worth, according to the National Association of Realtors, is substantial. Have you thought about which side of that gap you want to be on ten years from now?

The Santa Clara market is not offering the same chaos it did in 2021, and that is actually useful for buyers who got exhausted by that environment. Slightly more inventory, slightly less frenzied competition, and a market that is moving toward something more predictable. For someone who has been waiting on the sidelines, that shift in the housing market could be exactly what you were waiting for.

If that resonates with you, the next step is a straightforward conversation, not a sales pitch, just a clear look at where you are, what the Santa Clara real estate landscape actually looks like for your specific situation, and what the numbers mean for you. Call Timothy Alston, Broker, at (408) 207-4593 whenever that feels right to you. How would you like to proceed?

Schools in Santa Clara

Aegis School Excellence Index · 2024-25 performance data

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Millikin ElementaryAegis School Excellence Index · Santa Clara Unified SD · Grades K-5
8
Cabrillo MiddleAegis School Excellence Index · Santa Clara Unified SD · Grades 6-8
9
Wilcox High SchoolAegis School Excellence Index · Santa Clara Unified SD · Grades 9-12

Serving districts: Santa Clara Unified SD (K-12). School district boundaries can change; please verify current enrollment boundaries and program offerings directly with the school district.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Is Santa Clara good for families?
Santa Clara offers family-friendly neighborhoods with parks, community centers, and the Central Park complex with sports facilities. The city’s established residential areas provide safe, walkable environments for families.
How do I start buying a home in Santa Clara?
Get pre-approved with a lender who understands Silicon Valley pricing, then partner with an agent experienced in Santa Clara’s diverse neighborhoods. Defining your priorities around commute, lifestyle, and budget will help narrow your search quickly.
Is Santa Clara a good city for first-time buyers?
Santa Clara provides solid entry points for first-time buyers through its condo and townhome inventory, particularly near the Great America area and along El Camino Real. The city’s central location and employer access make it a practical choice for building equity.

Still have questions about Santa Clara?

I’ve helped hundreds of families buy and sell in Santa Clara. Happy to share what I’m seeing in your specific neighborhood.

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Timothy Alston

Broker · DRE# 01328224

Aegis Luxury Real Estate

Harvard Business School Online, Certified Master Negotiation

23+ Years Silicon Valley Real Estate Experience

Retired Military Veteran

Copyright © 2026 MLSListings Inc. All rights reserved.

The data relating to real estate for sale on this display comes in part from the Internet Data Exchange program of the MLSListings™ MLS system. Real estate listings held by brokerage firms other than Aegis Luxury Real Estate are marked with the Internet Data Exchange icon and detailed information about them includes the names of the listing brokers and listing agents.

Based on information from the MLSListings MLS as of June 10, 2026. All data, including all measurements and calculations of area, is obtained from various sources and has not been, and will not be, verified by broker or MLS. All information should be independently reviewed and verified for accuracy. Properties may or may not be listed by the office/agent presenting the information.

These statistics are generated using information from the MLSListings Inc. multiple listing service, but have not been verified and are not guaranteed. MLSListings Inc. disclaims any responsibility for the accuracy and reliability of these statistics. This information should not be relied upon for real estate transaction decisions.

Data updated every 15 minutes. Visit www.MLSListings.com for more information.

Information provided is for general informational purposes only. Equal Housing Opportunity. If you are currently working with a real estate agent, this is not intended as a solicitation.

Aegis Luxury Real Estate · Timothy Alston, Broker, DRE# 01328224 · 10080 N. Wolfe Rd Ste SW3-200, Cupertino CA 95014 · (408) 207-4593

Last updated: July 11, 2026 | Data reflects July 2026 MLS statistics

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