![Is It Still a Seller's Market? Here's What the Data Says. Remember a few years back when sellers held all the power and buyers were stuck offering way over asking or waiving inspections just to get a chance at the house? In many markets, those days are behind us. While it’s going to vary by area, more metros are slowly shifting to favor buyers, and the market is starting to look a lot more like a two-way street again. And that balance is something we haven’t had in a while. Whether you're buying or selling, here's what you need to know about what's changing and what it means for your move. The Most Buyer-Friendly Market in YearsThe national data tells an interesting story right now. According to Realtor.com: "The national housing market is balanced but gradually loosening as the cycle moves in a more buyer-friendly direction . . ." That’s because, over the past few years, more and more metros have been flipping back to more buyer-friendly terms as inventory’s grown. And when you zoom in on the latest Realtor.com data for the top 50 metro markets over time, the trend becomes really clear (see graph below). Back in 2021, almost all major metros were seller's markets. By the end of 2025, only 1 in 3 still favored sellers. That's an obvious shift. And that changes how the market is going to feel for everyone. Sellers shouldn’t still expect 2021 conditions, but neither should buyers. At least, not generally speaking. It’s Not the Same Story EverywhereThat said, who has the power ultimately depends on where you live. While more metros are leaning buyer-friendly lately, there are still plenty of strong seller's markets right now, too. It really comes down to how much housing supply and demand there is in your area. And that varies enormously by region. Sun Belt cities like Austin, Tampa, and San Antonio saw major building booms in recent years, giving buyers more options and more negotiating room. Meanwhile, cities in the Northeast and Midwest – think Rochester, Hartford, and Buffalo – didn't see that same wave, so inventory stayed tight and competition stayed fierce. As Jeff Ostrowski, Housing Analyst at Bankrate, explains: “The formerly hot Sun Belt markets have cooled, while the Northeast and Midwest have stayed hot. The big driver here is construction activity. The softest markets now [have] experienced big booms that spurred new building, and that has led to a large supply of new and existing homes on the market in those places.” Practical Advice for Your MoveTo find out who has the power in your local market, talk to an agent. Because knowing what’s happening locally is going to be the key to setting the right strategy for your move. If the market is working in your favor, great. Lean in and use it to your benefit. But if it’s not, all hope isn’t lost. Your agent can help you figure out how to approach any market. Here's some practical advice if there’s a mismatch between your goal and local market conditions. If you're buying in a seller's market: - Get pre-approved before you start shopping. It shows sellers you're serious. - Be ready to act fast when the right home hits the market. - Consider offering a quick closing date or flexible terms. - Work closely with your agent to craft a competitive offer. If you're selling in a buyer's market: - Price it right from day one. Overpricing will cost you time and money. - Focus on curb appeal and staging to stand out in areas with more inventory. - Be open to offering incentives, like covering closing costs or a home warranty. - Expect buyers to negotiate and be ready to be flexible. Bottom LineRight now, local markets are moving in very different directions. And your strategy as a buyer or seller should reflect your market. Is It Still a Seller's Market? Here's What the Data Says.](https://alstonhomes.com/wp-content/uploads/6-18-26-218x150.png "Is It Still a Seller’s Market? Here’s What the Data Says.")
If you’ve been watching from the sidelines, now’s the time to lean in. It’s officially the best time to buy this year. According to Realtor.com, this October will have the most buyer-friendly conditions of any month in 2025:
“By mid-October, buyers across much of the country may finally find the combination of inventory, pricing, and negotiating power they’ve been waiting for—a rare opportunity in a market that has been tight for most of the past decade.”
So, if you’re ready and able to buy right now, shooting for this month means you should see:
- More homes to choose from
- Less competition from other buyers
- More time to browse
- Better home prices
- Sellers who are more willing to negotiate
Just remember, every market is different. For most of the top 50 largest metros, that sweet spot falls in October. But the peak time to buy may be slightly earlier or later, depending on where you live. As Realtor.com explains:
“While Oct. 12–18 is the national “Best Week,” timing can shift depending on the local markets. . .”
Best Week To Buy for the Top 50 Largest Metro Areas
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA: September 28 – October 4
- Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos, TX: September 28 – October 4
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD: October 12 – 18
- Birmingham, AL: October 19 – 25
- Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH: October 26 – November 1
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY: October 12 – 18
- Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC: November 2 – 8
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN: September 28 – October 4
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN: October 12 – 18
- Cleveland, OH: October 12 – 18
- Columbus, OH: October 12 – 18
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX: September 28 – October 4
- Denver-Aurora-Centennial, CO: October 12 – 18
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI: October 12 – 18
- Grand Rapids-Wyoming-Kentwood, MI: September 28 – October 4
- Hartford-West Hartford-East Hartford, CT: September 21 – 27
- Houston-Pasadena-The Woodlands, TX: October 12 – 18
- Indianapolis-Carmel-Greenwood, IN: October 26 – November 1
- Jacksonville, FL: October 26 – November 1
- Kansas City, MO-KS: October 12 – 18
- Las Vegas-Henderson-North Las Vegas, NV: October 5 – 11
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA: October 12 – 18
- Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN: November 2 – 8
- Memphis, TN-MS-AR: September 21 – 27
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, FL: November 30 – December 6
- Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI: September 7 – 13
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI: October 26 – November 1
- Nashville-Davidson–Murfreesboro–Franklin, TN: October 12 – 18
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ: September 14 – 20
- Oklahoma City, OK: October 12 – 18
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL: October 26 – November 1
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD: September 7 – 13
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ: November 2 – 8
- Pittsburgh, PA: October 12 – 18
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA: October 26 – November 1
- Providence-Warwick, RI-MA: October 19 – 25
- Raleigh-Cary, NC: October 12 – 18
- Richmond, VA: October 26 – November 1
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA: September 28 – October 4
- Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA: October 12 – 18
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX: October 12 – 18
- San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA: October 12 – 18
- San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA: October 12 – 18
- San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA: October 19 – 25
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA: October 19 – 25
- St. Louis, MO-IL: October 12 – 18
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL: November 30 – December 6
- Tucson, AZ: October 12 – 18
- Virginia Beach-Chesapeake-Norfolk, VA-NC: September 21 – 27
- Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV: October 12 – 18
What the Experts Are Saying
And Realtor.com isn’t the only one saying you’ve got an opportunity if you move now. Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist at the National Association of Realtors (NAR), explains:
“Homebuyers are in the best position in more than five years to find the right home and negotiate for a better price. Current inventory is at its highest since May 2020, during the COVID lockdown.”
Daryl Fairweather, Chief Economist at Redfin, puts it like this:
“Nationally, now is a good time to buy, if you can afford it . . . with falling mortgage rates and significantly more inventory, buyers have an upper hand in negotiations.”
And NerdWallet says:
“This fall just might be the best window for home buyers in the past five years.”
How To Get Ready for this Golden Window
To make sure you’re ready to jump in whenever your market’s best time to buy arrives, talk to a local agent now. They’ll be able to give you more information on your market’s peak time, why it’s good for you, and the steps you’ll need to take to get ready.
Bottom Line
If you’re serious about buying, getting prepped for this October window is a smart play.
Want help lining up your strategy? Let’s have a quick conversation so you’ve got the information you need to be ready for this prime buying time.
